Decline of monarch butterflies overwintering in Mexico: is the migratory phenomenon at risk?

Journal or Publishing Institution: Insect Conservation and Diversity

Study: http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/j.1752-4598.2011.00142.x/abstract

Author(s): Brower, L.P., Taylor, O.R., Williams, E.H., Slayback, D.A., Zubieta, R.R. and Ramirez, M.I.

Article Type: Peer Reviewed Study

Record ID: 1420

Abstract:

1. During the 2009–2010 overwintering season and following a 15‐year downward trend, the total area in Mexico occupied by the eastern North American population of overwintering monarch butterflies reached an all‐time low. Despite an increase, it remained low in 2010–2011.

2. Although the data set is small, the decline in abundance is statistically significant using both linear and exponential regression models.

3. Three factors appear to have contributed to reduce monarch abundance: degradation of the forest in the overwintering areas; the loss of breeding habitat in the United States due to the expansion of GM herbicide‐resistant crops, with consequent loss of milkweed host plants, as well as continued land development; and severe weather.

4. This decline calls into question the long‐term survival of the monarchs’ migratory phenomenon.

Key Words: Conservation, Endanger Biological Phenomenon, Habitat, Leipdoptera, Migration, Monitoring; Mexico, Insects, Habitats, Breeding, Populations, Migration, Endangered Species, Farm Crops, Herbicides, Annual Variations, Abundance, Seasons, Degradation, Forests; Danaus plexippus, Breeding Sites, Crops, Data Collection, Forests, Host Plants, Land Use, migratory behavior, overwintering, regression analysis, risk, weather, Mexico, United States; Risk, Weather, Breeding Sites

Citation: Brower, L.P., Taylor, O.R., Williams, E.H., Slayback, D.A., Zubieta, R.R. and Ramirez, M.I., 2012. Decline of monarch butterflies overwintering in Mexico: is the migratory phenomenon at risk? Insect Conservation and Diversity, 5(2), pp.95-100.